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篇目详细内容

【篇名】 Evaluating the risk of water distribution system failure: A shared frailty model
【刊名】 Frontiers of Earth Science
【刊名缩写】 Front. Earth Sci
【ISSN】 2095-0195
【EISSN】 2095-0209
【DOI】 10.1007/s11707-011-0195-9
【出版社】 Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
【出版年】 2011
【卷期】 5 卷4期
【页码】 400-405 页,共 6 页
【作者】 Robert M. Clark; Robert C. Thurnau;
【关键词】 condition assessment; risk; failure

【摘要】
Condition assessment (CA) Modeling is drawing increasing interest as a technique that can assist in managing drinking water infrastructure. This paper develops a model based on the application of a Cox proportional hazard (PH)/shared frailty model and applies it to evaluating the risk of failure in drinking water networks using data from the Laramie Water Utility (located in Laramie, Wyoming, USA). Using the risk model a cost/benefit analysis incorporating the inspection value method (IVM), is used to assist in making improved repair, replacement and rehabilitation decisions for selected drinking water distribution system pipes. A separate model is developed to predict failures in prestressed concrete cylinder pipe (PCCP). Various currently available inspection technologies are presented and discussed.
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