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篇目详细内容

【篇名】 Sufficient or insufficient: Assessment of the intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) of the world’s major greenhouse gas emitters
【刊名】 Frontiers of Engineering Management
【刊名缩写】 Front. Eng
【ISSN】 2095-7513
【EISSN】 2096-0255
【DOI】 10.1007/s42524-019-0007-6
【出版社】
【出版年】 2019
【卷期】 6 卷1期
【页码】 19-37 页,共 19 页
【作者】 Ge GAO; Mo CHEN; Jiayu WANG; Kexin YANG; Yujiao XIAN; Xunpeng SHI; Ke WANG;
【关键词】 Intended Nationally Determined Contributions|mitigation|responsibility|capacity|potential

【摘要】

The recent Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change has resulted in the submission of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) of 190 countries. This study aims to provide an analysis of the ambitiousness and fairness of the mitigation components of the INDCs submitted by various parties. We use a unified framework to assess 23 INDCs that cover 50 countries, including European Union (EU)-28 countries as parties to the Convention, which represent 87.45% of the global greenhouse gas emissions in 2012. First, we transform initial INDC files into reported reduction targets. Second, we create four schemes and six scenarios to determine the required reduction effort, which considers each nation’s reduction responsibility, capacity, and potential, thereby reflecting their historical and current development status. Finally, we combine the reported reduction target and the required reduction effort to assess INDCs. Evaluation results of the 23 emitters indicate that 2 emitters (i.e., EU and Brazil) are rated as “sufficient,” 7 emitters (e.g., China, the United States, and Canada) are rated as “moderate,” and 14 emitters (e.g., India, Russia, and Japan) are rated as “insufficient.” Most pledges exhibit a considerable distance from representing a fair contribution.

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