(请使用IE浏览器访问本系统)

  学科分类

  基础科学

  工程技术

  生命科学

  人文社会科学

  其他

篇目详细内容

【篇名】 Security of solar radiation management geoengineering
【刊名】 Frontiers of Engineering Management
【刊名缩写】 Front. Eng
【ISSN】 2095-7513
【EISSN】 2096-0255
【DOI】 10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5
【出版社】
【出版年】 2019
【卷期】 6 卷1期
【页码】 102-116 页,共 15 页
【作者】 Andrew LOCKLEY;
【关键词】 security|geoengineering|solar radiation ma-nagement|SRM

【摘要】

Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) (National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound – even violent – disagreement on preferred temperature. SRM disruption risks dangerous temperature rise (termination shock). Concentrating on aircraft-delivered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), we appraise threats to SRM and defense methodologies. Civil protest and minor cyberattacks are almost inevitable but are manageable (unless state-sponsored). Overt military attacks are more disruptive, but unlikely – although superpowers’ symbolic overt attacks may deter SRM. Unattributable attacks are likely, and mandate use of widely-available weapons. Risks from unsophisticated weapons are therefore higher. An extended supply chain is more vulnerable than a secure airbase – necessitating supply-chain hardening. Recommendations to improve SRM resilience include heterogeneous operations from diverse, secure, well-stocked bases (possibly ocean islands or aircraft carriers); and avoidance of single-point-of-failure risks (e.g. balloons). A distributed, civilian-operated system offers an alternative strategy. A multilateral, consensual SRM approach reduces likely attack triggers.

版权所有 © CALIS管理中心 2008